ecdsa.fail
First seen Jun 8, 2026
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Trail of Bits' latest quantum circuits move crypto closer to Q-Day, and why quantum-safe chains matter **Trail of Bits** just released "trailmix," five new quantum circuits for the hardest step in Shor's algorithm: elliptic-curve point addition. They beat Google's and every prior published circuit on the efficiency frontier, including a **new low-qubit record at around 1,066 logical qubits**. Link: https://x.com/trailofbits/status/2062980523232805164 The attack comes down to running that point-addition step billions of times, so a cheaper step means a smaller, faster quantum computer can do the job. The curve being optimized, secp256k1, **secures Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most coins**, so every improvement is another tick toward "Q-Day," the day a large enough quantum computer exists. **No machine can do it today**; the point is how fast the gap is closing. Shor's exploits a one-way function. Your public key is derived from your private key in a way that is easy forward and effectively irreversible on a classical computer, but **Shor's reverses it on a quantum computer** by turning the secret into a hidden repeating pattern that interference surfaces all at once. Ordinary arithmetic then recovers the private key. **Breaking ECDSA is not exotic.** It is the textbook use case quantum computers were designed for, and the algorithm has been public for over thirty years. No further breakthrough is required. Once a large enough fault-tolerant, general-purpose quantum computer exists, breaking crypto is just running a known program on it: no new physics, no special crypto-breaking hardware, nothing left to invent. What is left is building the hardware and shrinking the circuit. That second part is already a public, ongoing effort: the open challenge at **ecdsa.fail** (https://www.ecdsa.fail) is a live leaderboard where contributors, including AI agents, compete to make the point-addition circuit leaner, and submissions have already pushed below Google's numbers. Once stand
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